Maybe it’s not that Trump can’t lose, but that Cruz and Kasich can’t win

Ted Cruz hugs Carly Fiorina before speaking during a rally in Hershey, Pa., April 20. (AP Photo / Julio Cortez)

Ted Cruz hugs Carly Fiorina before speaking during a rally in Hershey, Pa., April 20. (AP Photo / Julio Cortez)

Evidently, Ted Cruz’s doesn’t feel his alliance with John Kasich was enough of a winner. He just announced Carly Fiorina would join the GOP ticket as his running mate if he were to be the party’s nominee.

Fiorina would be a good choice for any Republican nominee: She performed well in the debates and has already honed an attack on Hillary Clinton that would be useful in the fall (the running mate typically goes after the other party’s nominee). I’ve thought for a while that a president could do much worse than turning Fiorina loose on the federal bureaucracy: Who wouldn’t like to see a bit of corporate-style downsizing brought to Washington?

All that said, Cruz and Kasich are looking less and less likely to pull off the feat needed to keep Donald Trump from being the nominee. And that tells us as much about them as it does about Trump.

Like Hillary, Trump is eminently beatable because a large number of voters simply don’t like him. There is also a path, albeit increasingly narrow, for his rivals to force a contested convention where he could be beaten. But also like her, Trump may survive because the competition just isn’t capable of doing the job.

Cruz is the candidate who sought to win by winning evangelicals and the “very” conservative. But he’s lost those voters to Trump in a number of states, including the past four that had exit polls.

Still, at least Cruz has won some of the states he was supposed to win. Other than his home state of Ohio, Kasich hasn’t.

Worse, Kasich hasn’t even been competitive in the states where he was thought to have a chance of giving Trump a real race. He didn’t break 30 percent in any of Tuesday’s states, the kind of bluish, East Coast states where Kasich claims to be strong but always disappoints. In the 10 states north and east of Ohio and D.C., Kasich has won 31 delegates. Cruz, who had virtually no expectations in those states, has 22 (and will almost certainly have the loyalty more than nine of Pennsylvania’s 54 unbound delegates). He’s beyond toast.

Yet Kasich soldiers on, perhaps undercutting Cruz’s next last chance at keeping Trump from reaching the magic number of 1,237. That would be next week’s Indiana primary. The Texan has faced these do-or-die situations before, in his home state as well as places like Utah and Wisconsin, but he’s running out of Alamos.

Reader Comments 0

60 comments
MightyNavy
MightyNavy

Wow.....significant parts of the GA delegation to the Republican convention need to go back to elementary school to learn how to add. What part of "Trump won GA in a landslide" don't they understand? Or are they simply willing to dishonor themselves and GA Republicans by voting for Cruz on ANY ballot? Lets remember who these folks are when it comes to local and state offices. 

RamonMendoza
RamonMendoza

I don't understand how the Rise of Trump caught most Republican insiders so flat-footed. That angry, boorish part of the white electorate has been the "base" to which they've catered for years now.  Who exactly did they think was driving the Tea Party movement?

Hedley_Lammar
Hedley_Lammar

Should be a proud moment in Cleveland when Donald Trump takes the podium as the party's nominee.


May not be a dry eye in the place.

Hedley_Lammar
Hedley_Lammar

Fiorinia should not be allowed anywhere near a position of power after she was so easily fooled by the hoax PP videos.



RafeHollister
RafeHollister

I hear that Kasich is now going to offer his VP slot to Trump. 

DaltonbywayofBickley
DaltonbywayofBickley

"Who wouldn’t like to see a bit of corporate-style downsizing brought to Washington?"


Willy nilly downsizing to boost a quarterly dividend and cutting valuable performers? No. Downsizing to eliminate waste? Absolutely.

RoadScholar
RoadScholar

" Who wouldn’t like to see a bit of corporate-style downsizing brought to Washington?"

Like she did at HP? No thanks!

Between the slimy Cruz and the singing Fiorina , no thanks!

RaymondRowland
RaymondRowland

Loose in 5 states, next day announce your VP? LOL

oldpunk
oldpunk

Reagan and Bush increased the size of the federal government; Clinton and Obama decreased it. 

Ray Howard
Ray Howard

I've been saying this the whole time.

Lil_Barry_Bailout
Lil_Barry_Bailout

There is no evidence more damning of the American education establisment than the two choices we'll be left with in November.

Caius
Caius

Trump made a major foreign policy speech in Washington today and promised a new direction in US foreign policy.  Look for the highlights on SNL.


Lil_Barry_Bailout
Lil_Barry_Bailout

I'd be more interested in the analysis and opinions of people who know things.

But do tell us more about how leftists navigate such weighty issues.

xxxzzz
xxxzzz

Cruz has to win in Indiana and California.  The Kasich deal was to give him a surge in Indiana.  This is to work on California.  Both short-sighted, but he is in must win situations.  Rubio or Kasich would have been better choices for the general election.

FIGMO2
FIGMO2

Ted Cruz is a step down for Carly.

Now Heidi Cruz? 

Although this country is not ready for two women on one ticket, Carly and Heidi would make a formidable duo. 

TheCentrist
TheCentrist

I really hate that social conservatives have not rallied around Cruz.  I am sick of SC's whining about RINOs and not standing up for the great values and character of Texans like Louie Gohmert, Joe Barton, Blake Farentgold, and Pete Sessions.

Wascatlady
Wascatlady

Ted: When you are stuck in a hole, STOP DIGGING!

Tommy Jones
Tommy Jones

It's not like there is a huge amount of brain power behind anyone that would vote for Trump or Cruz, much less Fiorina.

Barry Pendry
Barry Pendry

Especially when Katich said there was never an alliance.

RoyalDawg
RoyalDawg

Cruz now has everything he needs- except a country whose voters want him to be President! This has got to be the silliest damn thing I have seen in some time-

RoyalDawg
RoyalDawg

Kyle, it may be that you just aren't smarter than the millions of voters making their choice clear to the degree that you think you are. Got much arrogance? Perhaps you should try to understand their reasons rather than just declaring them stupid. What have you accomplished with your life to qualify you to be Supreme Master of All Wisdom? Won a contest to do nothing but write for a living?

Starik
Starik

@RoyalDawg Well, when the Atlanta Constitution combined with the Atlanta Journal, and ran the Gwinnett paper out of existence, they decided to hire a "social conservative" to keep selling papers far from the Perimeter. I enjoy this blog as a place to argue with people, but Kyle's opinions?

TheCentrist
TheCentrist

@Starik @RoyalDawg Atlanta is a Cox Sisters town. It is a one paper was in the morning and the other was in the afternoon.  A TV station, a radio station, and an auto auction for good measure.  The Marietta Journal and Neighbor News are just what they have always been...third class.

Starik
Starik

@TheCentrist @Starik @RoyalDawg Remember the Gwinnett Daily News?  That was a legitimate paper.

From the Wiki...

"The Constitution, as it was originally known, was first published on June 16, 1868. Its name changed to The Atlanta Constitution in October 1869.[3] It was such a force that by 1871 it had killed off the Daily Intelligencer, the only Atlanta paper to survive the American Civil War. In August 1875 its name changed to The Atlanta Daily Constitution for two weeks, then to The Constitution again for about a year.[4] In 1876 Captain Evan Howell (a former Intelligencer city editor) purchased a controlling interest from E.Y. Clarke Sr. and became its editor-in-chief. That same year, Joel Chandler Harris began writing for the paper. He soon invented the character of Uncle Remus, a black storyteller, as a way of recounting stories from African-American culture. In October 1876 the newspaper became The Daily Constitution, before settling on the name The Atlanta Constitution in September 1881.[5] During the 1880s, editor Henry W. Grady was a spokesman for the "New South", and encouraged industrial development.

The Atlanta Journal was established in 1883. Founder E.F. Hoge sold the paper to Atlanta lawyer Hoke Smith in 1887. After the Journal supported Presidential candidate Grover Cleveland in the 1892 election, Smith was named as Secretary of the Interior by the victorious Cleveland. Pulitzer Prize-winning novelist Margaret Mitchell worked for the Journal from 1922 to 1926. Important for the development of her 1936 Gone With the Wind were the series of profiles of prominent Georgia Civil War generals she wrote for The Atlanta Journal's Sunday magazine, the research for which, scholars believe, led her to her work on the novel. In 1922, the Journal founded the South's first radio station, WSB AM 740 (now 750). The radio station and the newspaper were sold in 1939 to James Middleton Cox, founder of what would become Cox Enterprises. The Journal carried the motto "Covers Dixie like the Dew".

The Atlanta Constitution

 "Cox Enterprises bought the Constitution in June 1950, bringing both newspapers under one ownership and combining sales and administrative offices. Separate newsrooms were kept until 1982, though even after the newsrooms were combined, both papers continued to be published. The Journal, an afternoon paper, led the morning Constitution until the 1970s, when afternoon papers began to fall out of favor with subscribers. In November 2001, the two papers, which were once fierce competitors, merged to produce one daily morning paper, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. The two papers had published a combined edition on weekends and holidays for years."

Kyle_Wingfield
Kyle_Wingfield moderator

@RoyalDawg Why don't you start by telling me where, in this piece or anywhere else, I've called the voters for any of the candidates "stupid." 

RafeHollister
RafeHollister

Kyle you are making progress, at least you are now straddling the fence between acceptance and denial.  


To say that maybe Trump can't win, after he won every county in all five states is just so much a stretch at rationalizing his success.  Who has ever won every county in five states on the same day before?  Maybe, just maybe, it is not Cruz or Kasich the voters are rejecting, it is lying politicians.  Maybe they just want to try something different. They seem to be willing to take a flyer on a lying businessman over more tries with another lying politician.  


Trump also seems like a fighter, who will take on Hillary personally, the corruption, incompetence, the lying, the criminality, the dishonesty. Cruz and Kasich have both said they will stick to the "issues" and leave the personal attacks out of it.  Same ole, same ole for GOP candidates, take the high road, while you get pummeled.  Sounds like Romney and McCain, who refused to go after Obama's incompetence, authoritarian attitude and general arrogance toward his opponents.  Their decision to stand down, while being assaulted relentlessly with personal attacks was not well received by the base.  The Trump crowd is attracted to a fighter.


The Carly action today was akin to the Titanic skipper announcing they were planning a special lunch with free steaks and lots of wines for everyone tomorrow for those not choosing to get on the life boats.

Steve13
Steve13

@RafeHollister If you don't like Obama's "incompetence, authoritarian attitude and general arrogance," how can you possibly like Trump's?  He's just like Obama, but more of a jerk.

xxxzzz
xxxzzz

@Steve13 @RafeHollister And for every attack on Hillary, she can just play interviews where he says wonderful things about her.  And we are talking in the last 4 years, not 25 years ago.  He's got zero credibility in attacking Hillary.

Kyle_Wingfield
Kyle_Wingfield moderator

@RafeHollister "To say that maybe Trump can't win, after he won every county in all five states is just so much a stretch at rationalizing his success."

I assume you mean "can't win" the general, since it has been a loooong time since I thought he couldn't win the primary. If so, tell me which of those five states you think he could win in November:

- Pennsylvania, where Dems have won six straight presidential elections and Hillary got more votes Tuesday (918,689) than Trump (892,702)?

- Connecticut, ditto (Hillary 170,075; Trump 123,367)? 

- Delaware, ditto (Hillary 55,950; Trump 42,472)?

- Rhode Island, which has gone D in seven straight and Bernie got more votes (66,720) than the entire GOP field combined (61,394)?

- Maryland, where Hillary (533,247) beat the entire GOP field (434,572) by almost 100K votes?

You know who else won those states in a GOP primary, by even larger margins than Trump in some cases, and thought he could make those states competitive? Mitt Romney. Do you remember how that turned out?

It's fake gold.

TheRealJDW
TheRealJDW

Time to face up Kyle...Trump is the new face of the Repug Revolution...may it have the staying power of the Goldwater version.

Kyle_Wingfield
Kyle_Wingfield moderator

@RoyalDawg He would have the same opinion of the GOP if Bernie Sanders were its nominee. 

Jefferson1776
Jefferson1776

I hope the D comes up about 50 votes short....call out the guard in Ohio

MarkVV
MarkVV

Fiorina performed well in the debates? After the first few, her poll numbers fell like a stone. But she is a good match with Cruz - the two most unlikable candidates in the race. 

Kyle_Wingfield
Kyle_Wingfield moderator

@MarkVV "After the first few, her poll numbers fell like a stone."

She wasn't able to capitalize on the debates. The debates were essentially her only outlet.

RafeHollister
RafeHollister

@MarkVV Well you seem to forget Clinton and Trump, both with unfavorability ratings  near as bad as those of Tanya Harding.