What to make of this Cruz-Kasich alliance against Trump

Ted Cruz listens as John Kasich speaks during the Republican presidential debate in Miami, March 10. They'll be pulling their punches against each other, and focusing their attacks on Donald Trump, in three of the remaining states. (AP Photo / Wilfredo Lee)

Ted Cruz and John Kasich will be pulling their punches against each other, and focusing their attacks on Donald Trump, in three of the remaining states. (AP Photo / Wilfredo Lee)

Ted Cruz and John Kasich have finally done what the pundits have been imploring them to do for more than a month: Divvying up the remaining states to stop Donald Trump’s march toward the GOP nomination.

In statements emailed within 10 minutes of each other late last night, the two campaigns said Cruz will focus on Indiana’s May 3 primary while Kasich shifts his attention to Oregon (May 17) and New Mexico (June 7). Each campaign spoke of giving the other a “clear path” in those states. They’ll compete with one another and Trump in the other 12 states yet to vote.

One obvious question is whether this is too little, too late. I don’t think so. Since March 15, when Trump forced Marco Rubio out of the race by beating him in Florida, eight states have awarded delegates. Cruz won the vast majority of delegates (167 out of 191 awarded so far) in Utah, Kansas, North Dakota, Colorado, Wisconsin and Wyoming. Trump won convincingly in Arizona and New York (147 out of 151). It’s hard to see how Kasich or Cruz could have helped the other win more delegates in any of those states by staying out of them.

It’s different in Indiana, at least (there hasn’t been much public polling of New Mexico or Oregon). Trump leads Cruz by 6 points in the Real Clear Politics average of Indiana polls, but he’s under 40 percent. Trump, who is expected to sweep the mid-Atlantic and Northeastern states voting Tuesday*, could virtually lock up the nomination in the Hoosier State: 57 delegates go to the winner (27 by congressional district, 30 to the statewide winner). But it’s still quite possible for Cruz to pull ahead there, keeping the race going, if Kasich stands aside.

Another obvious question is whether this will look like “the establishment” is ganging up on Trump. I find this laughable for two reasons. First, the idea that Ted Cruz has the backing of the establishment, against whom he’s fought since the Texas GOP primary for the U.S. Senate four years ago, is hilarious on its face. Second, this alliance is being announced just as the Republican National Committee has been listening to Trump’s pitch (strange as it may be) for uniting the party behind him as nominee, even if he doesn’t reach 1,237 delegates through the voting process. In fact, the Cruz-Kasich alliance seems more indicative that they don’t enjoy the backing of the establishment and are having to go to drastic measures to stop Trump. At the very least, the establishment isn’t strong enough to pull the strings they would need to stop Trump without their teaming up.

All of that said, we can expect Trump to try to spread the balderdash that this is one more instance of this race being “us against the world.” (He’s already calling it “collusion.”) and there is evidence his rants against the “rigged” election are working. Listening to a billionaire married to a supermodel, with a disproportionate share of delegates (47 percent) relative to his share of the vote (38 percent) and an absurd advantage in free media, complain about how life just isn’t fair for him now is just beyond parody. Yet, here we are.

Will this Cruz-Kasich gambit work? I think it stands a pretty good chance in Indiana; no idea about the two western states, or how voters in other, unaffected states might react to it.  But this is probably the best moment to take a shot with it. I wonder if they’d have been better off announcing it a couple of weeks ago, with the possibility of affecting the vote in, say, Maryland, but that’s my only quibble. It’s now or never for #NeverTrump.

*Keep in mind, 54 of Pennsylvania’s 71 delegates are officially unbound, so the better-organized Cruz could come away from that state with a large delegate haul even if he finishes third in the voting.

Reader Comments 0

117 comments
xxxzzz
xxxzzz

Cruz-Fiorina crush Clinton-Warren in November.  Assuming Cruz-Fiorina-Kasich can beat Trump in Indiana and California.

Eye wonder
Eye wonder

@xxxzzz

LOL. First off, no way in hell the Ds run 2 woman on a ticket. Second, Trump could beat Clinton; Cruz would never beat her. Third, that goes doubly for a ticket which includes Ms. Fiorina.

FIGMO2
FIGMO2

Is Kyle on vacation?

A new thread would be nice.

jay's are threadBARE.  

Eye wonder
Eye wonder

 Blue states: Stupid, poorly educated racists.

It was before Dems turned into America-hating creeps intent on perverting everything good and decent.

 libtard's bogeymen.

thousands of parasite Democrats.

obozo

Real Americans

parasite party


Kyle - why you allow this guy to continually soil your blog all the while adding almost nothing of substance is beyond me.


lvg
lvg

@Eye wonder Lil Barry demonstrates why Stupid Party will have someone like Trump as its nominee. 

Caius
Caius

@Eye wonder I disagree. Let Barry stay in the fight.  He spent Nov 2008 through October 2012 predicting and wishing for an Obama defeat in the next election.  His focus on the goal was admirable, if futile. When that did not happen he turned his ire on those who voted for Obama. (I would say he misses the main bloc who put Obama in office twice -  women! Averaged 55% in two elections and flat out owned the unmarried women vote.)


When your "enemy" becomes only the third president in the past 100 plus years to win back to back national elections with over 51% of the popular vote.......well somebody needs to pay for it.


I do not believe Obama has been a very "good" president.  About like his predecessor.  I would argue that the evidence is that Obama is one of the best politicians in US history. Or lucky enough to own the "perfect storm" that hit at the exact moment, twice.




Lil_Barry_Bailout
Lil_Barry_Bailout

@Caius @Eye wonder

I did get a little over the top on this one.  I'll try to do better, while still making my case against the Democrat's disastrous efforts at "transforming" our once-great nation into a slow-growth, liberty-squelching, intolerant leftist hellhole.

MarkVV
MarkVV

@Eye wonder He needs to vent his impotent rage and venom somewhere. Better here, where we can laugh at it. 

Lil_Barry_Bailout
Lil_Barry_Bailout

@Caius @Eye wonder

I don't think he's a good politician, he's just had a very compliant press giving him a pass on things they would have crucified a Republican for.

A good politician would have been able to work with the opposition.  Reagan did.  W did.  Obama failed, took his ball (and his pen and his phone) and went and played with himself.

xxxzzz
xxxzzz

@Lil_Barry_Bailout @Caius @Eye wonder I don't think there is any doubt Obama has been enormously successful at raising money and creating a ground game to get out the vote.  Black voters voted at a higher % than white voters instead of a much lower %.  That was a remarkable feat.  He's an awful leader, but very good as a politician.

Lil_Barry_Bailout
Lil_Barry_Bailout

For the vast numbers of Americans who have lost hope to the degree that they would vote for Trump, Clinton, or Sanders. We're also learning that middle class folks are offing themselves in record numbers after seven years of Obsama's failed economic policies.

Lil_Barry_Bailout
Lil_Barry_Bailout

Trump wins Republican primaries, and he's not even a Republican. Your question makes zero sense.

Lil_Barry_Bailout
Lil_Barry_Bailout

The bluer the state, the better Trump does!

Blue states: Stupid, poorly educated racists.

lvg
lvg

@Lil_Barry_Bailout So  that's why Saint Ronald won all the Northeast states except Rhode Island?

Lil_Barry_Bailout
Lil_Barry_Bailout

Our President Reagan won nearly everywhere. Even Democrats voted for him! It was before Dems turned into America-hating creeps intent on perverting everything good and decent.

Lil_Barry_Bailout
Lil_Barry_Bailout

The person who can get to 1237 in the primaries or during the convention (whichever comes first) will win.  Getting 1237 pretty much defines winning.  Until a candidate acnieves that number, you only display your ignorance by claiming there's some hidden, secret way of winning.

Duh.

McGarnagle
McGarnagle

Poor Kyle. What difference does this alliance make? If Cruz or Kasich win the nomination, wouldn't that further rip the party in half.


For the GOP, this will only get worse before it gets better. 

Terpman
Terpman

Trump will win, if he is somehow denied the nomination, kiss the Republican Party goodbye and good riddance, third party here we go...and Hillary wins and is President.

Steve13
Steve13

@Terpman If Trump is the nominee, Clinton wins.  If Cruz is the nominee, Clinton wins.  Neither can get independent votes.

Lil_Barry_Bailout
Lil_Barry_Bailout

@Steve13 @Terpman

Independents don't decide presidential elections.

Takers decide presidential elections.  They're a majority, and they vote Democrat.

xxxzzz
xxxzzz

BTW Kyle, great column in Sunday's paper on the budget issues.  We need more of that instead of the constant red meat for the masses living in echo chambers that columnists tend to put out.

lvg
lvg

Stupid party's clown bus went off the road a long time ago and the clowns keep trying to get it running again. Trump is watching all this with amusement as he gets the  votes to be lead clown.

InTheMiddle2
InTheMiddle2

If the Cruz - Kasich gambit works it will only accomplish one thing and that will be the final implosion of the GOP. What the estblishement has not recognized is that the everyday republican is completely ticked off at them. The GOP has had control of both the House and the Senate for over a year and completely wasted the opportunity to get anything done. I look forward to the complete destruction of the GOP in its current form. 

lvg
lvg

@InTheMiddle2 They have succeeded in making the Supreme Court ineffectual as well with an even 4-4 split. Makes President only part of three branches capable of accomplishing anything.

Lil_Barry_Bailout
Lil_Barry_Bailout

@lvg @InTheMiddle2

When was the last time Obozo passed a budget?

Real Americans don't need more laws, programs, or handouts.  Democrats might, but Real Americans can handle their food, shelter, clothing, healthcare, and yes, even acquire a $1 condom without forcing their neighbors to pay for it.

Lil_Barry_Bailout
Lil_Barry_Bailout

Nothing wrong with free condoms. We just don't need tax payers being forced against their will to fund them. Are you really so pathetic that you can't manage this monumental task without state help?

Starlette Horn
Starlette Horn

That's crazy..... Trump is winning and they mad..? Two suckers in the park ready to jump you, because they soft

FIGMO2
FIGMO2

 Will this Cruz-Kasich gambit work?

It'll work for Trump.

Lil_Barry_Bailout
Lil_Barry_Bailout

Meanwhile, the dimbulb left are united...in their greed for free stuff and other people's money, and voting in the best interest of their genitals.

lvg
lvg

@Lil_Barry_Bailout Please explain how the Democrats are "voting in the best interest of their genitals"? Do you mean Democrats have a sex life and cons are just frustrated  sexually and trying to regulate other people's sexual practices?

Lil_Barry_Bailout
Lil_Barry_Bailout

Those sophisticated, better-educated Northeastern blue states sure do love Trump!

Lil_Barry_Bailout
Lil_Barry_Bailout

The parasite party wins in the Northeast. Cons have no chance there. Not exactly news.

Stephen Scruggs
Stephen Scruggs

WHAT AN IMPRESSIVE LIST OF OBAMAS ACCOMPLISHMENTS First President to apply for college aid as a foreign student, then deny he was a foreigner. First President to have a social security number from a state he has never lived in. First President to preside over a cut to the credit-rating of the United States. First President to violate the War Powers Act. First President to be held in contempt of court for illegally obstructing oil drilling in the Gulf of Mexico. First President to defy a Federal Judge’s court order to cease implementing the Health Care Reform Law. First President to require all Americans to purchase a product from a third party, a violation of the U.S. Constitution. First President to spend a trillion dollars on ‘shovel-ready’ jobs when there was no such thing as ‘shovel-ready’ jobs. First President to recommend changing our National Anthem as it portrays and promotes violence and is warlike in its theme. First President to cancel the National Day of Prayer Breakfast and activities. First President to initiate a Cash for Clunkers Program to clean up exhaust that adds to global warming, then extended it because it was so popular — wasting hundreds of millions of taxpayer dollars. First President to abrogate bankruptcy law to turn over control of companies to his union supporters. First President to bypass Congress and implement the Dream Act through executive fiat. First President to order a secret amnesty program that stopped the deportation of illegal immigrants across the U.S., including those with criminal convictions. First President to demand a company hand over $20 billion to one of his political appointees. First President to terminate America’s ability to put a man in space. First President to have a law signed by an auto-pen without being present. First President to arbitrarily declare an existing law unconstitutional and refuse to enforce it. First President to threaten insurance companies if they publicly spoke out on the reasons for their rate increases. First President to tell a major manufacturing company which state they are allowed to locate a factory in. First President to file lawsuits against the states he swore an oath to protect (AZ, WI, OH, IN). First President to withdraw an existing coal permit that had been properly issued years ago. First President to fire an inspector general of Americorps for catching one of his friends in a corruption case. First President to appoint 45 czars to replace elected officials in his office. First President to golf 73 separate times in his first two and a half years in office, 90 to date. First President to pledge complete transparency while campaigning, then hide his medical, educational,and travel records. First President to win a Nobel Peace Prize for doing NOTHING to earn it. First President to go on multiple global ‘apology tours’. First President to go on 17 lavish vacations, including date nights and Wednesday evening White House parties for his friends; paid for by the taxpayer. First President to have 22 personal servants (taxpayer funded) for his wife. First President to keep a dog trainer on retainer for $102,000 a year at taxpayer expense. First President to repeat the Holy Qur’an and tells us that the early morning Islamic call to worship is the most beautiful sound on earth. And you wonder why I'm behind Trump lmao.Get educated people!

lvg
lvg

First President to come in office with US economy in a shambles and free fall while fighting three wars with no funding source and all of US banks on the verge of collapse.