As revelations mount, Hillary Clinton’s poll numbers plunge

"Who told you guys you could say you don't like me?" (AP Photo / Richard Shiro)

“Hey, who told you guys you could say you don’t like me?” (AP Photo / Richard Shiro)

If you still insist the never-ending series of negative revelations about Hillary Clinton’s secretive, off-the-books email policy as secretary of state and her conflicts of interest via the Clinton Foundation won’t hurt her candidacy, you might be a Democrat.

CNN earlier this week released its latest poll about the 2016 race, and it shows a sharp public change of heart toward the presumptive Democratic nominee. Her favorability rating swung from plus-9 in mid-March — and plus-21 last November — to a minus-4 in the latest poll, conducted May 29-31. Clinton has been featured in opinion polls about as many times as anyone still active in politics, and her 50 percent unfavorable rating is her highest since March 2001. Only one other time since 1992 (in January 1996) has her unfavorable rating been higher than it is now; in the run-up to her 2008 primary defeat by Barack Obama, it never surpassed 46 percent. The still-unquestioning support of the vast majority of Democrats is the only reason her numbers in the poll look even halfway decent.

There are two characteristics that go a long way toward explaining this sharp reversal: whether voters see Clinton as someone who cares about them, and whether they consider her honest and trustworthy.

CNN didn’t ask those questions in March, but it did in April. Her standing among Republicans was as dismal then as it is now, and the opposite is largely true among Democrats. Rather, it’s independents’ opinion of her that’s in an absolute free-fall. In the course of just six weeks, Clinton’s standing with independents on the “cares about people like you” question went from plus-51 to minus-17. Equally stunning is her drop on the “is honest and trustworthy” question: from plus-37 to minus-24.

Those do not look like the periodic gyrations that political candidates face over the course of a long campaign. They look like a hard flip from an overwhelmingly positive view of her to a sharply negative view of her.

What’s more, Clinton’s commanding lead over top Republican candidates in head-to-head match-ups has all but evaporated. In April, Clinton held double-digit leads over each of eight Republicans. Now, she’s in a virtual tie with Marco Rubio, Rand Paul and Scott Walker, while Jeb Bush and even Ted Cruz are within single digits of her. (The other three weren’t mentioned in the latest poll.)

A narrowing was bound to happen as we got closer to the election, but keep in mind that we’re still probably a year away from knowing for sure who the GOP will nominate. Again, what’s most noteworthy are the speed with which this has happened (just six weeks), and the way independents have sharply changed their minds:

  • Against Bush, Clinton went from plus-17 among independents in April to minus-3 in May.
  • Against Cruz, from plus-22 to minus-1.
  • Against Paul, from plus-17 to minus-7.
  • Against Rubio, from plus-13 to minus-3.
  • Against Walker, from plus-21 to minus-6.

Those represent swings among independent voters of 16 to 27 points — again, in just six weeks.

And there’s every indication the Clinton Foundation stories are only going to continue. Here’s the latest one, from the Washington Times:

“Bill Clinton’s foundation set up a fundraising arm in Sweden that collected $26 million in donations at the same time that country was lobbying Hillary Rodham Clinton’s State Department to forgo sanctions that threatened its thriving business with Iran, according to interviews and documents obtained by The Washington Times.

“The Swedish entity, called the William J. Clinton Foundation Insamlingsstiftelse, was never disclosed to or cleared by State Department ethics officials, even though one of its largest sources of donations was a Swedish government-sanctioned lottery.

“As the money flowed to the foundation from Sweden, Mrs. Clinton’s team in Washington declined to blacklist any Swedish firms despite warnings from career officials at the U.S. Embassy in Stockholm that Sweden was growing its economic ties with Iran and potentially undercutting Western efforts to end Tehran’s rogue nuclear program, diplomatic cables show.

“‘Sweden does not support implementing tighter financial sanctions on Iran’ and believes ‘more stringent financial standards could hurt Swedish exports,’ one such cable from 2009 alerted Mrs. Clinton’s office in Washington.

“Separately, U.S. intelligence was reporting that Sweden’s second-largest employer, telecommunications giant Ericsson AB, was pitching cellphone tracking technology to Iran that could be used by the country’s security services, officials told The Times.

“By the time Mrs. Clinton left office in 2013, the Clinton Foundation Insamlingsstiftelse had collected millions of dollars inside Sweden for his global charitable efforts and Mr. Clinton personally pocketed a record $750,000 speech fee from Ericsson, one of the firms at the center of the sanctions debate.”

Read the whole thing, and then try to convince me there’s nothing to see here — and nothing to keep Hillary Clinton from reaching the White House.

Reader Comments 0

71 comments
MaryElizabethSings
MaryElizabethSings

More on Hillary:  My goodness, how this nation needs Hillary Clinton - right at this moment in its history.  Her words from the video, below:


"We have a responsibility to say clearly and directly what's really going on in our country because what is happening is a sweeping effort to disempower and disenfranchise people of color, poor people, and young people from one end of our country to the other (applause) because since the Supreme Court eviscerated a key provision of the Voting Rights Act in 2013, many of the states that previously faced special scrutiny because of a history of racial discrimination have proposed and passed new laws that make it harder than ever to vote  -  NC - went after practically anything that made voting either inconvenient or inaccessible - early voting, same day registration, extend voting hours to accommodate long lines. . . . We should be doing everything we can to get our young people more engaged in democracy, not less.  In fact, I'd say it is a cruel irony, but no coincidence, that Millennials, the most diverse, tolerate, and inclusive generation in American history, are now facing so much exclusion and we need look no further than Texas, where you can use a gun permit for a valid reason for registration but a student ID is not good enough, to see why. . . ."

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++


You go, lady.  Tell it, exactly like it is, and turn this nation back over to the people for whom it was designed - through your insight, courage to speak truth, and force of commitment to American justice for the middle and lower classes - the government of, by, and for the people, themselves.


http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/06/04/hillary-clinton-voting-rights_n_7513858.html

MaryElizabethSings
MaryElizabethSings

Two very significant accomplishments of Hillary Clinton which few point out:  Hillary Clinton spent her time in the U. S. Senate building good relationships with fellow senators on both sides of the political aisle, and spent her time as Secretary of State, following President Obama's lead, in building good relationships with world leaders throughout the globe.  Don't think that that reaching out to others is not going to help change the world's trajectory one day from militarism, imperialism, and self-orientation to dialogue and nonviolence in solving world problems and in shaping the world's consciousness more to egalitarianism, starting with women's equal rights, than the hierarchical power perceptions that have long created chaos on the world's stage.  President Obama's visionary mind well knew what he was doing when he chose Hillary Clinton as his Secretary of State.  They have the same world vision, but not the same personalities.


It's time for Americans to see beyond personalities and to capture the visions of politicians.  And, it is past time for insecure men to get over feeling threatened by strong women like Hillary Clinton.  Not all women can be clinging vines and be true to themselves.

MarkVV
MarkVV

The first five hundred words of Kyle’s column can be condensed into a simple sentence: “The smear campaign against Hillary Clinton is working.” Bragging about a success of something one is participating is understandable, but evidence of gullibility and tendency to think the worst about a politician is not evidence of wrong doing of that politician.

The rest of the column is just more of the same insinuation and misdirection, based on zero evidence: The Clinton foundation and Bill Clinton being used as synonyms for Mrs Clinton, insinuation of wrong-doing without a basis for it. Naturally, nowhere one would find something like “Many companies around the world have supported the worldwide humanitarian efforts of the Clinton foundation …”

And then the disingenuous “try to convince me…” Why should anybody try to convince Mr. Wingfield? Isn’t he the one who should convince the readers – and succeeding only with those whose minds are already made up just as his?

PappyHappy
PappyHappy

The 'Clinton Foundation' has become the 21st Century's version of 'CRIME INC.', except for the fact that the Clinton Foundation is international! 


For Pete's sake!  She is a lawyer!  She has been associated with government throughout her life!  She DID KNOW right from wrong, and knew precisely what she was doing.

Folks, we a FOOLS if we allow her anywhere close to the White House doors.  The Clintons are out for the Clintons! 

Take your pick. Point out of all of this is that now that the cat is out of the bag, there will be one investigation after another, and Lord knows what the legal expenses will be. This is not going to go away and the Clintons know it!

Criminal probes for the Clintons and their ‘CHARITABLE’ Global Initiative??

Conflict of Interest??

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/08...

http://capitalresearch.org/201...

http://www.politico.com/story/...

Haitians asking: “Where is the $10 Billion Raised for Haiti? It is now 2015!!”

http://freebeacon.com/issues/c...

http://www.frontpagemag.com/20...

Surely the Clintons are not using HSBC to hide $$$$$$$ are they? (This is against the law isn’t it?)

https://www.google.com/?gws_rd...

http://www.icij.org/project/sw...

http://www.standupamericaus.or...

http://wallstreetonparade.com/...

http://www.irishtimes.com/busi...

Appears that Egypt has their own problem with Hillary!!

http://dcgazette.com/hillary-m...

FIGMO2
FIGMO2

@Wena Mow Masipa How 

You asked for proof.

Declared?

Morrison Bonpasse

Andy Caffrey

Willie Carter

Martin O'Malley

Bernie Sanders

Doug Shreffler

Michael Steinberg

Robby Wells

Now of course, those without Clinton's billions will never make it into the paddock.

The two vultures are Sanders and O'Malley.


Cogito Ergo Erras
Cogito Ergo Erras

What I have NEVER gotten is the mindless support and defense of Democratic or Republican politicians who are CLEARLY corrupt, dishonest, self-serving, unethical and whatever else. I voted for GWB twice but I rarely if ever defend him. Why defend the indefensible? It's none too smart, in my view. Yet, you ALWAYS see that 40% Democratic support for Obama or Hillary or Reid or whoever. Very puzzling. It's as if such people have no standards to speak of. 

Dusty2
Dusty2

The thought that HILLARY might even be president gives me a chill to the bone.  I do think she can make a good speech and has all the temerity of a hungry lion.  But the Clintons & poor ol' charmin' Bill, always end up in hot water of one kind or another.  It never fails and they want to do it again.


lf we the voters  are so dense that we let such a catastrophe happen again, I can only say we deserve it.   Women, wars and woes from lack of wisdom and honesty have all been delivered by the Clintons.


Let's not do it AGAIN!!  Please!  Please! Please! .NO HILLARY and NO Brother Bill in the White House!  . 

DownInAlbany
DownInAlbany

  • Against Bush, Clinton went from plus-17 among independents in April to minus-3 in May.
  • Against Cruz, from plus-22 to minus-1.
  • Against Paul, from plus-17 to minus-7.
  • Against Rubio, from plus-13 to minus-3.
  • Against Walker, from plus-21 to minus-6.
  • Those represent swings among independent voters of 16 to 27 points — again, in just six weeks.

    That is THE key to the election.  IMO, whomever gets the independent vote, wins the election.

    Visual_Cortex
    Visual_Cortex

    @DownInAlbany

    Wonder what happened to the percentages of people self-identifying as "independent" between April and May.

    TicTacs
    TicTacs

    @DownInAlbany  Nothing new on your key, nor your party (which is why you lost the last 2)

    DownInAlbany
    DownInAlbany

    I don't see how her number get better between now and the election.  Will it matter, though, is the question?

    Cogito Ergo Erras
    Cogito Ergo Erras

    @DownInAlbany 

    I suspect there is some real dirt to be found and if ever someone like a "Deepthroat" comes forward, it will be curtains. It seems clear that Nixon would never have been brought down save for an informant.

    Juanx
    Juanx

    Kyle...it's real early in the game to see who in the GOP pool survives the push to the top to become nominated to determine just how badly the democrats trounces the nominee. There is more baggage from the GOPs than Hillary will ever have. The baggage created by the GOP machine does not pass muster with the informed voters.

    Visual_Cortex
    Visual_Cortex

    I'd like to see some polling that proves more than (say) 30% of the public is even aware that the Clinton Foundation is a thing.

    Kyle_Wingfield
    Kyle_Wingfield moderator

    @Visual_Cortex How else would you explain those kinds of swings? Click the link to the most recent poll; there's been a great deal of consistency over the years to her numbers on these questions (about her; not about match-ups with GOP obviously).

    FIGMO2
    FIGMO2

    It's why the dem's vulture candidates are just now swooping in to feed off her carcass. 

    RafeHollister
    RafeHollister

    @FIGMO2 She one tough OLD bird, so the pickings will be hard to digest!  Don't vultures have species courtesy?

    Hedley_Lammar
    Hedley_Lammar

    @RafeHollister @FIGMO2 Correct


    She has been through these phony scandals before


    Heck im sure many here still thinks she killed Vince Foster. Its hilarious

    MHSmith
    MHSmith

    Delete, Delete, Delete...

    TBS
    TBS

    For a man who actually thought Romney was going to win you paint a rosy picture for the Republicans. 

    Just as it can't be discounted that the Republicans administered whippings in 2010 and 2014, it also can't be discounted that the Ds have won the popular vote 5 of the last 6 POTUS elections.  

    Hillary is nothing special but as of today I wouldn't put a lot of money on her to win but she would be my choice if I had to bet today.  It is the competition Kyle.  A large field sounds great on paper but doesn't mean there is a candidate that can win a nation wide election. 

    Keep clicking those heels Kyle......... 

    One of those candidates (Republicans in the race for POTUS) sitting in the kiddie pool with floaties on just might pull it off..........

    Long way to go

    MANGLER
    MANGLER

    Jeb is running. 

    Can't wait for the conversation about him doing the same thing with his emails while he was in high elected position to circle about.

    Kyle_Wingfield
    Kyle_Wingfield moderator

    @MANGLER "the same thing"

    Except that he didn't exclusively use personal email while in office, as Hillary did. 

    Kyle_Wingfield
    Kyle_Wingfield moderator


    @Visual_Cortex The emails, unless there's significance in their contents, won't do the damage. The conflicts of interest are the really bad stories for her, and they're most likely going to keep coming.

    RafeHollister
    RafeHollister

    @Kyle_Wingfield @MANGLER Doesn't matter because the talking point is out there for the proggies. They never give up on a talking point, even when proven untrue.  "Hands up don't shoot", "I can see Russia from my house", "Romney fired her husband, she lost her insurance, and died of cancer", just some recent examples.

    Kyle_Wingfield
    Kyle_Wingfield moderator

    @HeadleyLamar It's the "using it exclusively against department rules, hosting everything on her own server at home, deciding unilaterally which emails will be made public and which won't" part, mostly.

    Hedley_Lammar
    Hedley_Lammar

    @Kyle_Wingfield @Visual_Cortex The fact is, Clinton was one of nine voting members on the foreign investments committee, which also includes the secretaries of the Treasury, Defense, Homeland Security, Commerce and Energy, the attorney general, and representatives from two White House offices — the United States Trade Representative and the Office of Science and Technology Policy. (Separately, the Nuclear Regulatory Commissionneeded to approve, and did approve, the transfer of two uranium recovery licenses as part of the sale.)


    These are the "conflicts of interest" we keep hearing about


    I guess they were all on the Clinton foundation payroll. 



    http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2015/04/28/fact-check-clinton-veto-power-uranium-deal/26527445/


    AceDawg
    AceDawg

    One would think that an O'Malley campaign stands a chance to derail Clinton if it were to pile on to the negative news cycle around her and her philandering hubby, but if there isn't a Democratic effort to also derail her, I still think she can rise above criticism and be a frontrunner over the R's. The truth is that the general public ebbs and flows, and they may not care tomorrow about what they care about today. The race will turn into partly the policy game of abortion stances, tax policies pertaining to the wealthy, etc. When that happens, thankfully the Republican field doesn't have to rely on folks like Romney or Gingrich, but it matters greatly which Republican wins the primary. Someone like Rand Paul that has his character flaws and policy inconsistencies is probably still in better position to attack Hillary beyond merely criticizing her ethical standards. 

    n8diggidy
    n8diggidy

    Hillary Clinton and Jonathan Gruber think Democrat voters are stupid.

    RafeHollister
    RafeHollister

    @n8diggidy Have to call for some evidence that they are wrong, you can't just make this stuff up.

    Bill OrvisWhite
    Bill OrvisWhite

    Surprised that the AJC opened this up to comments. Well, this news isn't surprising. Maybe more folks are getting a clue about how dangerous this evil woman has/is/will be? You think? I'm at a loss as to why in the world anyone would vote Democrat and worse yet, why anyone would want to go back to the drama/failure that is known as Billary? Why? I'm always stating and will continue to state that anyone who votes Democrat and/or for Billary has a mental condition that needs to be fixed. I'll go one further and state that anyone who supports these crooks has moral failings of their making and are just as dangerous as The Clinton Crime Family has/is/will be...... Good night. Amen, Bill 

    TicTacs
    TicTacs

    premature .....  you should check yourself in.

    Hedley_Lammar
    Hedley_Lammar

    @RafeHollister Bush is more popular these days


    BECAUSE he is no longer President.


    All ex Presidents become more popular when they leave office and Bush had nowhere to go but up. 

    RafeHollister
    RafeHollister

    @HeadleyLamar @RafeHollister Well when Iran gets the bomb, Obamacare is replaced, and ISIS grows into a threat we will see how low will Obama go.  Presidents do not always increase in popularity after they leave office, Nixon, Johnson, and Wilson come to mind.  

    Hedley_Lammar
    Hedley_Lammar

    @RafeHollister @HeadleyLamar Well when Iran gets the bomb, Obamacare is replaced, and ISIS grows into a threat


    Click your heels three times and let me know when any of that happens.