Poll time: The 2016 newcomer with staying power is …

This morning, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee announced his entry into the contest for the GOP’s 2016 presidential nomination. He’s already the third person this week to join a field that is growing so large, one wonders if the first primary debate in August won’t be divided into two “heats,” a la preliminaries in track or swimming, to accommodate a crowd that could be well into the teens by then.

Huckabee, who spoke today in the hometown of Hope, Ark., he shares with Bill Clinton, ran third behind John McCain and Mitt Romney in the 2008 primary. He was expected to try again in 2012 but declined to do so. Although he retains a good bit of goodwill with social conservatives and has amplified his profile with his “Huckabee” show that ran on Fox News for more than six years, one wonders if his moment hasn’t already passed.

Monday’s announcements brought two decided long shots into the field: Carly Fiorina and Ben Carson. Fiorina, the former CEO of Hewlett-Packard whose only political experience is losing a 2010 Senate race in California, argues she’s the best choice in large part because she would neutralize expected Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton’s strategy of “playing the gender card” in the general election.

Carson, a celebrated neurosurgeon who leaped to political prominence by criticizing Obamacare at a national prayer breakfast while President Obama sat just a few feet away, launched his campaign at an event in Detroit, complete with a gospel choir’s rendition of Eminem’s “Lose Yourself” and an a capella rendition of “The Battle Hymn of the Republic.” As you may have surmised, Carson intends to present himself as anything but your typical politician.

There are a number of politicians more seasoned than Carson and Fiorina — and, in most cases, more contemporary than Huckabee — already in the race or exploring an entry. There are current governors Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal and Scott Walker, current senators Ted Cruz, Lindsey Graham, Rand Paul and Marco Rubio, three-term Texas Gov. Rick Perry, two-term Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, plus former senator and 2012 runner-up Rick Santorum. So the question is: Which candidate, if any, of the trio that joined this week has staying power?

Let’s put it to y’all, the voting public, in one of our periodic, if not scientific, polls. Who among Carson, Fiorina and Huckabee will be in the race the longest … or possibly even win it? Vote below, and explain your choice in the comment thread.

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48 comments
Jefferson1776
Jefferson1776

All these prima donnas are further proof about the GOP mindset where think they know more than the world , but it just don't work in reality. Remember the problems left by the last GOP regime, when they had the courts, the congress and the white house --- depression !!!!!

Wascatlady
Wascatlady

None of those dogs will hunt for long.

sssinff
sssinff

Ever seen a square dance, the move where you switch partners every few steps? That is the GOP presidential nominating contest. To continue with a trite metaphor, everyone will get a chance in the clown car to ride shotgun. Each will have a splash, they'll get some press for a few weeks, then fade. The GOP will settle on the centrist who will get clobbered in the general by the electoral reality of a Democrat wave, whether or not it is led by Hillary.

332-206
332-206

Forget the debate heats. Will Fox News give a consolation show to each of the losers?

LogicalDude
LogicalDude

Huckabee, because he will maintain a base of conservative christian supporters.  He can ride that to a high single digit percentage in the primary. 

Carly sounds like she pretty much admitted she's running on the gender card.  She may keep on the bottom of the list for a while, gathering funds along the way. 

Carson's inexperience will likely show much sooner than other candidates and he'll bow out. 

DawgDadII
DawgDadII

On the surface I'd say each of these three is a voice in the chorus, not the flag bearer. How long they last "in the race" in the end won't matter, they will still be voices in the chorus.


These days we see more take-out politicking than constituency building. Which is a shame, this is an election set up for the taking by a Republican who can ride a populist wave and win new voters on a message of shared values and trust.


I see similarities to conditions in 1980. Reagan carried the message, but Reagan rode a strong wave of populism, a wide swath of voting public yearning for America to stand up and be strong and confront serious economic and foreign policy problems head-on (shared values). Reagan did not create this wave, he rode it brilliantly and his message was spot-on for the times. Reagan was supported by a LOT of strong voices in the chorus, voices strong on economic and foreign policy in particular, leaders motivating the religious right to get out and vote, voices building trust with the voting public that there would be rational policy and programs behind the campaign promises. Speaking to the "luck" factor, a hostage crisis and a single hockey game earlier in the year each played an immensely important role in focusing and motivating that wave of Nationalist populism, reminding people they had something very important to vote "for". I wonder if something like this is in the offing for 2016, and I hope it's something positive and not another tragedy. Right now, I see lots of the supporting chorus voices, but I don't see the "Reagan" candidate yet, and I haven't quite heard the right broadly positive, winning message from any single candidate. I'm hopeful.

kitty72
kitty72

I chose Fiorina. While I would not vote for her, she isn't quite as loony as the other two in the GOP clown car. You guys are working on a bus instead of a car. How about pink with eye lashes? :)

Visual_Cortex
Visual_Cortex

Huck's the only one with elective office experience, he's the only credible candidate of the three. That said, I'm not sure that's necessarily indicative of how long he'll be in the race. I see Fiorina and Carson as in the race for something other than seriously running for President. In Fiorina's case, I think she's on a somewhat short VP list and staying in makes her somewhat credible if the GOP nominee feels it simply must have a female on the ticket (and if Suzana Martinez, once again, isn't interested). For Carson, he can work his candidacy into an ever-bigger speaking/consulting fee bracket, develop a bigger donor list, etc.

So both might be in the race longer than Huckabee, even though they're far less likely to have a real shot at winning the nomination.

MHSmith
MHSmith

Still waiting on Bush and Kasich  

Caius
Caius

@MHSmith Sorry, but Kasich is waiting on God and God has proven to be really patient.

DunwoodyGranny
DunwoodyGranny

Can anyone play? Even liberals?

Then I pick Carly Fiorina. Not because I think she will get a whole ton of support but because I don't think in her case it matters. It's up to the candidate to face reality and end a campaign, and Carly is not the man dor that job!

IReportYouWhine#1
IReportYouWhine#1

My pick of Fiorina is based on the presumption that most AmeRicans have received enough of a public school system education to understand what she's saying, although I've been proven wrong on this many, many times.

Dusty2
Dusty2

These three will last about as long as ice cream in the sun.  Let's not waste time here. 

Jeb Bush is waiting and we can wait for him. 


Don 't blame me if you can't stop old prejudices.  That's your fault. Jeb has already proved he is a leader.  Besides that, he's  honest! 

RafeHollister
RafeHollister

@Dusty2 Well, we have to part ways here Dusty.  I think we have enough central American immigrants now, they have filled most every job that Obama has created since 2008, yet Jeb wants Amnesty for those here illegally, is weak on border security, and is a proponent of Common Core.  


He doesn't seem to have much support among the GOP base, but with the big money folks pushing him and the conservatives splitting the vote dozens of ways, he may take the prize, unfortunately.

Recon2/3
Recon2/3

I chose Huck because of his experience and he's a pretty effective debater.

Juanx
Juanx

Caius...I to would ask the same of Kyle Wingfield.


Kyle Wingfield...the first to go will be Christie if he announces before he goes to trial over a bridge too far. Not one listed on your survey will make it out of the first round of debates. I had first hand experience with incompetence of Fiorina at HP while working as a Purchasing Agent in NY. She wrecked havoc to the company operations with faulty equipment. The other two positions meet only the Tea Party base.

Wascatlady
Wascatlady

I'm real bad at this picking the candidate thing.


I laughed when I heard that Obama was running.


And I laughed AND spit out my drink when I heard Deal was running for Governor.


So don't listen to me!

Wascatlady
Wascatlady

I'm going to run for President.


Ok,son,take a number.

Wascatlady
Wascatlady

Once they are vetted by the press,there may not be a single one remaining.

Caius
Caius

Where is the "None of the Above" button?  All three of these will be gone by March 1.


Finn-McCool
Finn-McCool

The fringe folks are there to do what Bernie is trying to do for the left - focus the conversation on their pet projects.

Bumper15
Bumper15

These are fringe candidates who mostly want to get their message out in front of the faithful. Two of them have never even held public office. The (R) establishment will want a moderate mainstream candidate who appeals to a wide swath of voters.

notagain
notagain

An incompetent gang to challenge a

poor

frail

little

woman.

Not poor,not frail not little,but very competent,and tough.

Jefferson1776
Jefferson1776

Face it,  you boys got Bush.  End of story.

Finn-McCool
Finn-McCool

Whoever can please the GOP base will lose the rest of the country. Sad, ain't it.

RafeHollister
RafeHollister

The GOP needs Carly to hang around as long as possible to take on Clinton.  We have such a politically correct culture that will prevent a man/male/heterosexual/Y Chromosome endowed individual from opening his mouth to challenge this poor frail little woman.  The press will turn any harsh word spoken by a male into an example of this fictional war on women.


We need Carly to call her out and hold her accountable for the lies, parsing, and misdirection that is a part of everything a Clinton says, otherwise, we will have a soft campaign of innuendo and double speak from the other candidates.  A repeat of Romney and McCain's reluctance to hold accountable a black candidate for fear of being called a racist.   Once the primary is over and it is Dem vs. Republican you can bet the media will focus on destroying the Republican and somehow will just not have the time to investigate charges against their preferred candidate.  I would like to see Carly or Susana Martinez or another outspoken female as the VP candidate, for the sole purpose of keeping Hillary's distortions in check.


Huckabee would make a great President, but after Iowa, he falls back in the pack.  Looks like scores of Conservatives splitting the vote and once again letting the Hillary-lite candidate, Bush win with a minority of the vote.  I hope that for once we can run someone with new ideas and strong principals, so we don't have the usual campaign of squishy principals, false campaign promises, and pandering for votes.

HeadleyLamar
HeadleyLamar

@RafeHollister The press will turn any harsh word spoken by a male into an example of this fictional war on women.


One day the press is in the bag for Clinton .The next day even the NYT is reporting on her foundation or the Clinton scandal of the day


Which is it im confused ?

RafeHollister
RafeHollister

@HeadleyLamar @RafeHollister They will be against her until they are for her.  Pretending now to do their due diligence, so they can skip it later, when it is important for their candidate to win.

HeadleyLamar
HeadleyLamar

@RafeHollister @HeadleyLamar They will be against her until they are for her.  Pretending now to do their due diligence, so they can skip it later, when it is important for their candidate to win.


Ah so its a big conspiracy


Got it thanks for clearing that up. 

MHSmith
MHSmith

@RafeHollister


Add poor little frail woman justice to  the proggie's   "faux justice" agenda list of causes denied equal results.


RafeHollister
RafeHollister

@HeadleyLamar @RafeHollister Not exactly a conspiracy, there is no need to consult with one another, they all spawned from the same swamp and think alike.  It is just mind numbed progressive cultist group think.

JFMcNamara
JFMcNamara

Fiorina will probably be a VP pick, so she will be around. The woman card will likely get played like 2008.

Paul Ryan was a disastrous pick. He bought no one in the demographic segments they needed.

Huckabee is past expiration and Carson is, well...

straker
straker

The field will top out at 10 to 12 candidates.


I know and you know that only 1 or 2 of them will have any chance.


As they line up on the stage, full of hope, we will already know which ones don't have a chance.


Makes one wonder why they do it.

HeadleyLamar
HeadleyLamar

The clown car is getting fuller no doubt

My vote. None of the above.

If force to choose it obviously Fiorina. Im not sure how much running HP into the ground and her eventually getting forced out will help her though

MHSmith
MHSmith

This time around Huckabee probably has the best  shot at winning if he can raise the funding. One thing for sure, if he is elected President, you can rest easy on religious freedom remaining truly  free.

GMFA
GMFA

@MHSmith While he takes away rights from other groups. He has said too much that has made him look like a neanderthal. 

ByteMe
ByteMe

Best shot?  Dr. Ben and Mike are grifters, not running for anything other than the money, so they'll last as long as they can fool enough people.  Carly will run it like a real political campaign, but still end up dropping out before we get too far into 2016.